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UEFA Nations LeagueSunday, 4 October 202616:00 Türkiye time (UTC+3)Neftçi Arena, Baku

Azerbaijan vs Lithuania Prediction

Match Result

Azerbaijan

Home

1
–

Lithuania

Away

0

You vs Buddy

Your Prediction

The crowd

1 people predicted this match.

Recent form & head-to-head

Azerbaijan
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L
Lithuania
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W

Head-to-head — last 1 meetings

0·1·0

Azerbaijan wins · draws · Lithuania wins

Buddy Prediction

1–0

Win probabilities

38%Home Win
32%Draw
30%Away Win

Goal expectation 1.0 – 0.8

Buddy sees very little between the sides: Azerbaijan 38%, draw 32%, Lithuania 30%. The model expects about 1.0 goals from Azerbaijan and 0.8 from Lithuania, which points to a tight, low-scoring game. Its predicted scoreline is 1–0, although with the percentages this close, several other results are nearly as likely. Confidence is low, so this is best read as a model's estimate for an evenly poised match rather than a firm call.

Why this score?

Azerbaijan scores 40% below average at home.

Lithuania concedes 1% below average away.

This is based on 21 matches for Azerbaijan and 19 for Lithuania; data up to 3 October 2026.

How does Buddy make this call? →

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Frequently asked questions

When was Azerbaijan vs Lithuania played?
Azerbaijan vs Lithuania was played on Sunday, 4 October 2026 and finished 1-0.