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UEFA Nations LeagueSaturday, 3 October 202619:00 Türkiye time (UTC+3)Laugardalsvöllur, Reykjavik

Iceland vs Bulgaria Prediction

Match Result

Iceland

Home

3
–

Bulgaria

Away

0

You vs Buddy

Your Prediction

The crowd

1 people predicted this match.

Recent form & head-to-head

Iceland
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • D
Bulgaria
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W

Buddy Prediction

3–2

Win probabilities

45%Home Win
18%Draw
38%Away Win

Goal expectation 3.3 – 3.0

Buddy sees very little between the sides: Iceland 45%, draw 18%, Bulgaria 38%. The model expects about 3.3 goals from Iceland and 3.0 from Bulgaria, which points to an open game with goals at both ends. Its predicted scoreline is 3–2, although with the percentages this close, several other results are nearly as likely. Confidence is medium: the leading outcome is ahead, but the other results remain well within reach.

Why this score?

Iceland scores 36% above average at home.

Bulgaria concedes 43% above average away.

This is based on 21 matches for Iceland and 20 for Bulgaria; data up to 2 October 2026.

How does Buddy make this call? →

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Frequently asked questions

When was Iceland vs Bulgaria played?
Iceland vs Bulgaria was played on Saturday, 3 October 2026 and finished 3-0.